The Vegas Golden Knights stormed the gates in Game 1 and dropped the Montreal Canadiens with ease 4-1. Now, for many, that win seems like a lifetime ago as the Habs have rattled off two straight including Friday’s overtime thriller. And with that my friends, the odds have changed. Drastically.
In Futures Betting, Montreal has gone from +1100 after Game 1, to +800 and can now be found on some betting sites as high as +450 to lift hockey’s holy grail. No bet is ever a sure thing, but if you believe they can continue to defy the odds, you need to cash in while the odds are still decent.
Understanding Montreal’s Futures
Betting hockey futures is typically a long and pretty boring road. You get in there at the start of the year because you’re all excited and then all you can do then is wait. You then have to endure losing skids, odds changing frequently and potentially even lost cash. Betting on the futures right now though is an entirely different ball game.
If you get on it now, you’ve only got another few more weeks to wait for a possible payout. This is a very good thing. The only downside is that the closer we get to the final series and games, the more the odds decrease, and the payouts drop accordingly. In other words, if there was ever a time to get betting on hockey futures, it’s basically as soon as possible.
Take the Tampa Bay Lightning for example. They came into this season as the reigning champions and odds on favourites to repeat in 2021. With that, their odds before the first puck ever dropped this season were +750. Now they’re currently listed as +125 and despite a tied series with the Islanders, they’re still the odds-on top dogs.
So, there’s a prime example of how things can change throughout the year and how the closer we get to the finals, the worse the payouts become. Now, let’s get back to talking about ‘Oui the North.’ The Habs have a 2-1 lead in the series and are still paying +112 to win the conference. Obviously, that’s not a huge pay day, but if they can rattle off another win, it’s probably the best you’re going to find.
By now you should have a better understanding of how futures work. So, with that, let’s talk trends and how the Habs are looking heading into game four and beyond.
The Trend Bend
One of the best things about sports betting is reading the trends. It makes you feel like a brilliant scientist when you win. If you lose, it’ll make you question everything about life, but let’s not go down that road. Let’s talk about what makes these tenacious Habs tick and how the betting world is predicting their conference final path.
At the time of this article’s posting, the vast majority of bettors are siding with Vegas. Sorry Montreal. The Vegas Golden Knights are receiving 69 per cent of all bets to the Habs’ 31 per cent. This will make you question your own prediction of course, but it also opens the door to opportunity.
The more money thrown towards Vegas is a good thing because the odds for Montreal will rise to get bettors more enticed. So, in this case, waiting until right before puck drop to place your dough may be the perfect strategy.
Now here’s a little food for thought:
Vegas — the listed favourites — are riding a 1-6 losing skid through their last seven tilts with Montreal. The underdog has also won a shocking six of the last seven times these two have met and, finally, if you’re thinking Over-Under betting, the Over has hit in five of the last eight VGK-MTL contests.